Early Bird – 12th September

A disappointing run from Impulsion who looks to have run well below par. Our other tip was a non runner having been due to run at the abandoned Salisbury meeting.

 

Tips

 

4:20 Listowel – Haymount – 1pt e/w @ 18/1 Paddy Power and BetVictor 1/5th odds 5 places

8:45 Kempton – Squire – 1pt win @ 7/1 Ladbrokes

 

 

Analysis

 

4:20 Listowel – Haymount – 1pt e/w @ 18/1 Paddy Power and BetVictor 1/5th odds 5 places

 

This is a horse who I tipped in the NH Chase at Cheltenham back in 2017. Ran really well though its jumping could be susceptible at times. Stayed on to good effect in that race and looked sure to pick up a nice prize. Still waiting for that win though having only backed it once since in the Irish National with the other three runs all at a distance short of three miles. First time back up to 3m and gets ease in the ground which it seems to handle well. Showed a bit more promise last time under unsuitable conditions suggesting it is coming into a bit more form and still lightly raced for its age. A very competitive race as you can imagine with such a high reward for winning but at its price it is not one I can let go.

 

 

8:45 Kempton – Squire – 1pt win @ 7/1 Ladbrokes

 

Some money for this tonight and I am not surprised as there are some interesting signs. Firstly the yard run two in the race including the top weight, a method occasionally used to ensure the ‘trier’ carries as little weight as possible. Secondly it is a prominent or front runner who has been running over a trip that tests the limits of its stamina. What it has meant is its handicap mark has dropped 7lb from when it last run over a mile at this track when beaten just over a length. Is drawn to attack here in stall 2 whilst the runner on its inside is likely to be more patient so will have no problem grabbing the rail. The worry is there could be competition for the lead here and they could go too hard early but with the track often favouring those racing prominently I am hopeful from a good draw then it will take some passing.