Early Bird – 20th August

Didn’t quite get the breaks on Saturday, especially in the Great St Wilfrid where both of our horses ran second to those to race on its side. We also had one non runner.

 

Tips

 

5:30 Windsor – Family Fortunes – 1pt win @ 7/1 BetVictor

7:00 Windsor – Udontdodou – 1pt e/w @ 16/1 Bet365, Paddy and BetVictor

 

5:30 Windsor – Family Fortunes – 1pt win @ 7/1 BetVictor

Just a small bet on this one who may benefit from being at a smaller yard. Often seen staying on to good effect in its races it is somewhat of a surprise that it has taken a change of ownership and trainer to see the horse going beyond a mile. Could be a new lease of life for it and considering it was rated 85 last year then its mark of 77 is surely workable. Ran over 7f on first run for its new yard where it stayed on but was easily beat by a class dropper from the Andrew Balding yard. Still finished 2nd over a trip too short for it. Opposition do look tricky. Peace And Plenty benefited from a wind operation and tongue tie to win last time though there is no guarantee it can repeat the performance. Dreaming Of Paris is stepping up in class and seemed to benefit from the way the race panned out at Sandown last time to finish second. Hats Off To Larry is a c/d winner just a few runs ago off a mark just 2lb lower. Aided by the jockey taking 7lb off here, he has a decent strike rate and even won at Glorious Goodwood in the apprentice handicap so looks good value for his claim. That is half the price of Family Fortunes though so it’s the value I have to go with.

 

7:00 Windsor – Udontdodou – 1pt e/w @ 16/1 Bet365, Paddy and BetVictor

In a very open contest I think this horse is well worth betting e/w. For a start it should get the strong pace over 6f that it enjoys. It certainly helps it if the opposition are coming back to it as it stays on well. It can also take a good pitch and follow the shortest route from its stall 3 position. Not only that but in this size of field there is surely a good chance the field will pan out in the straight thus making it actually easier to get a run than in smaller fields where they stay bunched and tight to the rail. It is also arguably well handicapped. Rated 12lb higher on the a/w, it has only raced on turf in the last year; that was when finished second to current favourite Silent Echo, beaten just over a length. It is actually 8lb better off with that rival here yet is almost four times the price! Gerald Mosse takes over in the saddle who will be familiar with the horse having ridden it last time out plus he seems to be having his best season ever in the UK. Also entered up at York this week however I expect this course winner to take up this engagement and run with plenty of credit.