Early Bird – 6th September

Tips

 

3:40 Haydock – Seduce Me – 0.75pt e/w @ 16/1 1/5th odds 4 places widely available

4:55 Carlisle – Four Wheel Drive – 1pt win @ 15/2 Skybet

 

 

Analysis

 

3:40 Haydock – Seduce Me – 0.75pt e/w @ 16/1 1/5th odds 4 places widely available

Bit of a chancey one this as its recent form looks pretty poor. However, that can be slightly deceptive as on several of those occasions it wasn’t beaten far and being a hold up horse it hasn’t always got the strong pace it needs. It has also been competing at a higher level than this race. When looking at class 4 races and lower its form figures read: 5142511 which improve to a perfect 111 when narrowing it down to races run in the 2nd half of the year. Seems best with a bit of cut in the ground so if the forecast rain arrives then t will be a major boost to this horses chances, it may well shorten in price on the basis of that too. Yard are in cracking form, operating at a 26% strike rate in the last couple of weeks. This is the first time the horse has been in a class 4 since winning two on the bounce (By 8 lengths then 3 1/2 lengths) at Newbury and Epsom respectively which saw its handicap mark jump to one in the 90s. Races here off just 77 with a good claimer taking a further 3lb off its back. If the forecast showers arrive then do not rule this horse out!

 

4:55 Carlisle – Four Wheel Drive – 1pt win @ 15/2 Skybet

 

Four Wheel Drive ran really well at Southwell last time when attempting to make all, though was comfortably picked up by the well backed favourite. The pair along with a third runner were well clear of the rest of the field. Seems to handle any ground based on its first three runs and definitely has ability to win a race of this nature. Turned out relatively quickly from a good draw, I expect it to go close.