Early Service – 9th November

Decent day, La Bague Au Roi held on well for victory, finishing at an SP of 15/8, whilst our big priced MAX each way paid the price for chasing a strong early pace, yet still ran on at the finish for third place rewarding our bet and finishing 10/1 having been advised at 16/1.

 

Have to admit this is one of the worst Fridays racing I have seen for a fair while! Numerous lowly grade class 4 and 5 races that don’t appeal from a betting perspective, especially with ground possible to change with rain forecast for the country. Exciting to see how Arkle favourite Kalashnikov gets on, but at 1/3 is no betting prospect for us. Instead I have dug out a small one that I am hopeful can go well.

 

Tips

 

2:30 Warwick – Navajo War Dance – 0.5pt e/w @ 20/1 widely available

 

 

Analysis

 

 

2:30 Warwick – Navajo War Dance – 0.5pt e/w @ 20/1 widely available

 

A race in which I cannot be confident on any at the head of the market. Dexcite has three times been a beaten favourite over hurdles and has uninspiring form figures. Took a strong pull in its last race and with not much in the way of pace it may not settle. Finley’s Eyes has a terrible RPR in comparison to these and needs to step up considerably on what we have seen so far. Unsafe Conduct is another who can be keen. Managed to win two runs ago when settling better in a field of 17 but as I said earlier, I don’t see this being strongly run. Djin Conti needs to improve also and so may struggle off top weight in this. Je Suis Charlie isn’t the most straight-forward and any rain would really hinder its chances. Navajo War Dance wouldn’t want too much rain but was rated in the 80s on the flat, has only had 6 runs over hurdles, three of them in maiden and novice company when no chance. Finished a creditable 2nd to an in form rival back in May before running as though something was wrong a couple of weeks later and been off since. Seems to go well fresh, its record when running within 28 days is 0/12 with 2 placed, compared with absences of longer than 28 days which read 1/11 5 placed including its sole career win coming after 220 days. Should race somewhat prominently, this small yard had a winner the other day and the way things are it looks some value.