Form Guru – 10th April

Only one NH card survives the weather and nothing much appeals at Hereford. There’s little to get excited about elsewhere either but there a few who are tempting at generous odds on Wolverhampton’s evening card.

Today’s Selections:

6.45 – Wolverhampton:

Astraea. 0.75 pts e/w. Available at 22/1. (Betfred)

Milton Road. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 25/1. (Paddy Power, Betfair – 1/5 odds first 4)

Three year old handicaps are not normally our choice of race to get involved in and the betting is dominated by the very lightly raced pair, Jungle Cat (Kevin Ryan) and Faadhel (Roger Varian). They both move into handicaps after three runs and could be ahead of their opening marks. Their yards have 14 and 17% strike rates with their three year olds in handicaps on the A/W in recent seasons but they have both produced losses to a level stake and their representatives rarely go unfounded in the market. At much bigger prices a chance is taken on Astraea and Milton Road. Astraea is a maiden after five starts and makes her sixth start on the back of a six month break. She showed ability when placed on her first two starts as a Juvenile at Redcar and York and, although below that level of form on slower going on her next two starts, she ran better than her finishing position suggests in a very good Nursery at York when last seen back on better ground last October. She is four pounds lower here on her first start as a three year old and, if straight enough, she wouldn’t be out of this based on the best of her form. Milton Road is far more exposed but he knows how to win having done it four times in eighteen starts. All but one of his races has come over 5-6 furlongs but his only outing over seven furlongs resulted in a career best effort at Chelmsford. He is now three pounds lower in the handicap than when producing that performance last September and Daniel Tudhope rides for just the second time.

7.45 – Wolverhampton:

Toolatetodelegate. 1.5 pts win. Available at 8/1.

Fly True. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.