Early Bird – 4th May

5:45 Newcastle – Corked

Only a small field race but one in which I want to have a small bet on an outsider in Corked. It largely relates to a piece of form last year, namely its second last run when third to Dellaguista and Titan Goddess, beaten just over a length. Both horses that finished in front have gone on to better things. Dellaguista is now rated 10lb higher and Titan Goddess is up 15lb in official ratings. Corked tried to make all that day but just bumped into a pair of rivals that were clearly well in. Disappointed next time but I’m prepared to forgive that. The problem is that it could well be bumping into another pair of well handicapped rivals for Sir Mark Prescott and Sir Michael Stoute. I can make an exception against that when you see the price. Also, there is a good chance having previously front run then it can dominate the race and steal it, with tactics on its side. Either way I will chance it.

0.75pt win Corked @ 14/1 Willhill, Unibet and BetBright