Form Guru – 1st June

Only Miskin gave us a return yesterday when he was placed at Lingfield. Renny’s Lady was a close third after trouble in running at the same track while False ID ran better than his finishing position suggests at Wolverhampton after trying to come from an unfavourable position.

Today’s Selections:

2.35 – Epsom – Brilliant Vanguard. 0.75 pts e/w. Available at 16/1. (Bet365 – 1/4 odds first 3)

The second race on the Epsom Oaks card is a one mile handicap. Donncha and Masham Star are toward the head of the market but they are hardly winning machines nowadays, although the latter is well handicapped. Medburn Dream is also to the fore with the layers but both he and the aforementioned Masham Star like to go forward and it’s possible they could compromise each others chances. King’s Pavillion will welcome the recent rain but at a much bigger price it may be worth chancing that the outsider of the field, Brilliant Vanguard, can get competitive and place at the very least. He hasn’t got near the winner in three starts this season but they came in large field competitive races at Doncaster, Newmarket and Ascot and his efforts suggest he is running back into form. If that is the case he is well weighted being one pound below his last winning mark. His races on turf have been mainly confined to quicker conditions but he was a winner in soft ground as a three year old and his only start on similar ground since was on his reappearance on the back of a five month break in March. His Sire has a good record with his progeny on ground softer than good. His part owner likes to have success at this track and also runs Mythical Madness (sole owner). The early money for the latter could be significant although it has probably been driven by being put up by a National Tipster.

3.45 – Epsom – Brorocco. 1.25 pts e/w. Available at 10/1. (Skybet – 1/5 odds first 4)

Ajman King looks likely to be hard to beat but he is a very short price. Last year’s winner, Not So Sleepy, returns to try and win it for a second time but, at the relevant prices, Brorocco, is preferred. He was favourite to win last season’s renewal and was only beaten a length and a half into fifth place after encountering traffic problems when making his move. He has to be settled early so he will always be a hostage to fortune but his only previous visit here before last season’s race resulted in a one length victory over Banditry. He is worse off  at the weights with both Not So Sleepy and Banditry but not enough to believe he cannot beat them both. Nearly all his racing has been on good ground or quicker and he wasn’t seen at his best the only times he has encountered testing conditions. However his Trainer has been quoted as saying that he will be withdrawn if they believe the ground is riding too slow. His Sire has produced plenty who handle soft ground and his Dam has produced two siblings that also have done so, including the high class Elm Park.

4.30 – Epsom:
Bye Bye Baby. 1.75 pts win. Available at 7/1.
Give And Take. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1. (Bet365 – 1/4 odds first 3)

Wild Illusion has been well supported at the head of the Oaks market and she is clear of her rivals on Official Figures. If she improves by any margin she is going to be very difficult to beat. However this race has a habit of throwing up a big price winner and it’s worth opposing the favourite on that score alone. The betting suggests that Magic Wand is the best of Aiden O’Brien’s battalion but there may be some mileage in supporting one of their supporting cast in the shape of Bye Bye Baby. By Galileo out of an Oaks placed Mare she is bred for the job and hit the line hard when winning a Group Three over ten furlongs in soft/heavy ground at the Curragh last time out. She likes to go from the front and there aren’t many here who have done likewise so far in their careers. She is likely to be stalked by the favourite who has plenty in her favour (ground and trip) but, at the prices, it looks worth giving Bye Bye Baby a chance. Given that she has sixteen pounds to find with the favourite, it’s not surprising Give And Take is at double figure odds. Being by Cityscape he wouldn’t be a guaranteed stayer at this trip but his Dam is a sister to Irish Derby/Ascot Gold Cup winner Fame And Glory. If she inherits anything like her stamina reserves then she will have no problem with today’s distance. That could see her improve enough to at least get involved at the business end of the race. She has yet to race on ground slower than Good/Soft but her Trainer seems confident she will handle it. Ridden by a jockey who knows how to win big races and has a 20% strike rate at the track.

5.50 – Epsom – Right Action. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1. (Generally available – 1/5 odds first 4)

7.35 – Doncaster – Manton Grange. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1. (Bet365 – 1/4 odds first 4)

8.15 – Goodwood – Hawridge Flyer. 2.25 pts win. Available at 6/1.