Part two of the handicaps to get through with days Thursday and Friday. Plenty of interest and races with strong trends.

Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle

10/10 – Rated 134 or higher (Prior to last year the lowest from previous 9 races was 138)

9/10 – No more than 10 hurdle starts

9/10 – No more than 3 starts at 3m+

10/10 – Aged 8 or younger

18/20 – Beat in their qualifier

Some strong trends with Sire Du Berlais being the exception on both the “No more than 10 hurdle starts” & “No more than 3 starts at 3m+” from his second win in the race in 2020. Even applying these we are reduced to a field of just 4, two that I was particularly interested in, 1 that I have already tipped and a final one that is flying a bit under the radar.

Alaphilippe – Already one that had caught my eye from his qualifying run, making seasonal debut after being off the track for more than 300 days. Travelled really well into a decent looking race before blowing up after the last and fading badly. Sure to have come on a great deal for that run whilst the handicapper has kindly dropped it a couple of pounds also. Was fifth in last years Albert Barlett. Hard to work out what that form is worth considering near enough everything from it has gone chasing, though does give you an idea of the types he was up against. Going through all his form and I just don’t see it for this race. Won the Prestige last year on soft at Haydock though was helped by the 2 length leader coming down 2 out. Just didn’t have the pace to get competitive in the Albert Bartlett, running on past tired horses at the end. It could be about the ground for this horse. All barring his Albert Bartlett run has come on soft or heavy ground and was withdrawn from an engagement at Aintree on account of the good to soft ground so I suspect he wants a good bit of dig. 8/1 and looking ground dependent doesn’t suggest it is one I want to rush and bet.

Winter Fog – Talking horse for the race having been put up by a couple of very shrewd judges in Kevin Blake and then Gavin Lynch in the preview shows. Worried I have missed the boat now as he is a best price 6/1 favourite. Lightly raced under rules with just the five starts, but did run six times in point to points. Rated 138 in Ireland and races off the same mark here. Still, not bad for a horse whose previous trainer and jockey both stated the horse was of “limited ability”. Looks to have a very interesting chance as well. Stayed on well to beat Captain Kangaroo to win a maiden before going on to run 4th in an open hurdle over 2 1/2m, well beat by the useful Lifetime Ambition but never able to get competitive, staying on but beat 31 lengths. Since switched yards and owners so now with the shrewd Emmet Mullins. Entered him straight into a Pertemps qualifier where he travelled well before hitting the front turning for home. Probably paid to be ahead of all the trouble and crowding turning in as never suffered any interference, but then the horse seemed to idle once hitting the front and didn’t do much there, getting run down for the win. Was gambled down that day from 22/1 into 8/1 on course so clearly the horse was expected to perform which it duly did so they must think he has something in hand with the handicapper. Races here off 138 after the Irish handicapper put him on 131 doesn’t make it easy. But, the horse goes well fresh, looks to have been saved for this and meets his victor on 4lb better terms. Ran in a qualifier that 6 of the last 7 Irish winners of this had previously run in that season. Only concern I would have is whether he truly stays this trip. We are also basing his ability and handicap rating on that one performance.

Folcano – A horse I had already tipped for the Pertemps at 20/1 after his 6th place finish in a qualifier at Punchestown back in November. Caught the eye there held up out the back and ridden to ensure that he qualified for this. Disappointed on next start though when running a race sponsored by the owners of this horse. However, put that behind him when a creditable 4th over shorter when wearing first time blinkers, hitting the front before getting swamped at the end. Interesting to note that horses have a good record in this wearing headgear whilst it would be even more notable if a tongue tie is applied, like the last six winners of the race have worn. Three quick runs then a rest is often a favoured tactic by Gordon Elliott so the absence doesn’t concern me. What is more a worry to me is the horses poor win rate with just the sole victory at 4/9 in 9 starts over hurdles, three times a beaten favourite. Does he truly stay as well? His record over 3m actually reads 069 which is a little disconcerting. However, he is a best price 12/1 now, we have a value price and he has wound up on my trends shortlist. I am happy with that position.

Coeur Serein – Sneaky one here at a big price for a yard who actually boast the most winners of this race, with Jonjo O’Neill having trained the first past the post four times in his career, though only once in the last 17 years! It still means he knows what it takes. Would suggest there has been a change of plan with the horse having began with a creditable 4th in a grade 2, outpaced in the Persian War when still eligible. Then went chasing, but got off to a bad start, falling on debut when looking likely to win. Seemed to lose a bit of confidence after that as was beaten twice since in novice chases. That was when they decided to switch back to hurdles, running in a qualifier at Exeter and finishing 2nd in bad conditions just finding an in-form and well handicapped mare too good. Record over hurdles at 3m reads 112 and races off the same rating as there. He has a chance without looking like he is thrown in off his mark. To me he is a bit like Gumball in the Grand Annual. Not one that I want to be taking a price about now as don’t see him shortening much, but could be a bit of value the night before at a big price and with several more places available.

As a summary, we are already on Folcano, Alaphilippe is ground dependent so would rather wait till we know what conditions will be like. Coeur Serein looks to have an each way chance at a big price but would rather wait till can get two or three more places than is available now. Winter Fog is the current favourite but does look a well handicapped horse who like I said has been put up by some shrewd judges. As a horse who fits some strong trends it would be folly of me to ignore those facts. Plenty of people will tell you to wait on these types of selections now as they can’t get any shorter. Don’t believe them! The Bosses Oscar started favourite last year at 100/30, admittedly there was 11/2 joint favourites in 2020 but in 2019 Sire Du Berlais won at 4/1. I’m happy to take 6/1 NRNB on a horse if I think it will go off favourite around 7/2 – 4/1. If you bet with Bet365 you also get best odds guaranteed so even if it was to take a drift then you get the bigger price if it won. Doesn’t happen that often at the shorter prices though Sky Pirate was a famous one last year that took a walk in the market yet still won.

1.5pt win – Winter Fog @ 6/1 Bet365 NRNB

Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase

8/8 – Rated 140 or higher

16/17 – 12 or fewer chase starts

25/26 – Carried 11st 4lb or less

15/17 – Ran in the New Year

19/20 – Won over 2m 3f – 2m 5f

Taking the above trends into consideration it still leaves me with a fairly long shortlist of horses. However, the last 6 years have shown there to be a significant type of horse that is winning this race and that is likely to continue after the removal of the novice handicap chase run over this trip which was replaced by the mares chase. Therefore, just looking at the last 6 years you can pull out these trends with all the winners:

First or 2nd season Chasing

Contested a graded novice hurdle or novice chase

Won that season

This leaves me with a manageable 7. The things is, we are looking for a specific type. A lightly raced progressive type who has shown abilities in the past but just not up to the top level. Winners do tend to have the ability to go on and be competitive at graded level so this needs to be considered as well.

Busselton – Looks like he is a horse well-in in theory getting to race off a mark of 143 though I have also seen marks of 145 and 147 for the horse. Either way the 143 is 6lb above what the Irish handicapper has him at. Not disgraced in the Irish Arkle over a trip much shorter than he has generally raced at. However, well beat in the Fred Winter last year and has had a long season. Form with Ciel De Niege has worked out well and though you would have to go a long way back to find a 5yo winner of this, there have been very few to compete, let alone those with the experience this horse has gained (8 starts over fences since end of July). The horse has been benefitting from the weight allowance as a 4yo and that can make his form a little deceptive. He isn’t one for me.

The Glancing Queen – A mare I like though thankfully haven’t tipped yet as initially it looked like she would be an obvious contender for the Mares Chase, though connections now seem to be aiming towards this race. Not a bad idea though wonder if connections also wish they had kept an engagement in the Turners considering how bad that race is looking likely to cut up. Form looks good, only finding L’Homme Presse too good over fences which is no disgrace. Is likely to be competing in graded races as well if winning this either against her own sex or with the weight allowance against the boys. Got to go back to 2014 since the last time a horse defied an absence of this long in the race though, just scraping in on the ‘Ran in the New Year’ trend having last raced on New Years Day! The question is just how much juice is there in her current price of 9/1. Could be a bit, especially if she gets some form boost such as Alan King winning the Arkle with Edwardstone and L’Homme Presse in the Brown Advisory.

Kiltealy Briggs – On the shortlist though owner has stated that he is going for the Ultima. Progressive over fences though both wins come in 4 runner races including one on heavy ground round Haydock. Was put in his place in the Kauto Star but that was no disgrace, especially not when you consider he has made all for both victories yet was held up here. His 1/2 length defeat of the 140 rated Pay The Piper last time off level weights would suggest his mark of 141 is fair, but is there enough improvement to come at this trip to suggest it is well in? I’m not so sure.

West Cork Wildway – One that has been well touted by some shrewd judges including Paul Kealy despite coming from a small Irish yard. Took a while to get going over hurdles in Ireland eventually winning a handicap off 124 before a good 4th in the Ladbrokes Hurdle off 131. Three moderate runs followed including on seasonal debut before he was switched to fences, falling on his first start before beating The Bosses Oscar and Stratum in a Beginners Chase. Hard to know what to make of that form considering The Bosses Oscar has pulled up twice since and though Stratum won a chase it was entitled to do at 2/5 he was then stuffed by Stattler. His only other run over fences was when well beat behind Bob Olinger which is no disgrace but makes it hard to assess just how good this horse is. A literal view of beating the Irish 143 rated The Bosses Oscar would suggest a UK mark of 141 is lenient whilst the Irish handicapper has given him 139 which is only 2lb higher and lenient again considering the rise most horses get. However, his form, and rating is pretty much based around that one bit of chase form. He could be thrown in, or he could be thrown out as over rated, it is hard to say with so little to go on.

Vienna Court – Second mare on the list, as seems to be happening with handicap shortlists. Also holds a Mares Chase entry which I thought she may be more keen to go for. Looks held on seasonal debut by The Glancing Queen, who beat her by 11 1/2 lengths. However, Vienna Court seemed to improve a great deal from the run to then win a pair of handicaps, both over course and distance including beating Simply The Betts in a strong race on New Years Day. That was off a mark of 135 but the pair were 10 lengths clear of the third and she is only 6lb higher. Disappointing last time though in a race she should of won on all known form and given every chance to do so. Beaten by a mare who was 8lb worse off than in a handicap. Possible she hit the front too soon but even then. Would also be concerned at her hold up tactics being deployed in this race where it pays to race handy. Can get away with it if well in and able to take a wide route around the field. This will be different assuming the max of 24 runners is allowed, she can’t ease her way through the field like she normally would. There are enough doubts for now.

Falco Blitz – Henderson runners but doesn’t appeal. Won at Kempton two starts ago beating a pair of horses who don’t like to win (both the 2nd and 3rd have finished runner up four times in four starts since!). A second season chaser, he just doesn’t fit the profile of the unexposed chaser I am looking for as a potential winner.

Adrimel – What can you say about this horse over the last 2 years? I’ll give you a clue. His form figures read: 111PPP11 since the Champion bumper of 2020! So, he either wins or pulls up! Admittedly, the first two pulled up were in the Albert Bartlett and The Mersey novice hurdles, both grade 1s, whilst the more recent was on chasing debut when never jumping. Then went and won a couple of small field affairs, both at Haydock and on bad ground. I suspect he is a horse who is better beating up weaker rivals on bad ground and throws in a sulk when not able to do that. Horses can be temperamental like that, especially those that like to be at the head of affairs. In a competitive race like this I don’t think he is one to trust.

Where does that leave me? Off the trends I want to be betting two. The Glancing Queen brings the most solid form and like I said, it can be easy to over complicate things. The fact is she has only found a potential star too good for her over fences, where she looks improved from her hurdles form. I can see her shortening up somewhat if this is the confirmed target over the Mares Chase whilst there is potential her chances get a boost through the yard form and/or L’Homme Presse. She is a novice with course form and could well be racing in some nice graded races later this season or next year. I will also have a small bet on West Cork Wildway who could be anything here. It wouldn’t be unusual for something with little form from Ireland come over and prove to be much better than what they have shown. If the form line with The Bosses Oscar is literal then you imagine he is well weighted here. He has already been touted a couple of times on preview shows and that could just get bigger. I won’t go crazy with him but it would be good to get him onside if the money was to come for him.

1pt win – The Glancing Queen @ 8/1 Bet365 NRNB

Kim Muir H’Cap Chase

10/10 – Official rating of 137 or higher

8/9 – Aged 8 or younger

18/19 – Beaten last time out

13/16 – 11 or fewer chase starts

9/10 – Last run in the New Year

A hard race to break down from a trends point of view especially when there are a couple of factors that we won’t know. Most important is the jockey bookings though some we can assume such as Rob James will ride Frontal Assault and Jamie Codd is riding Smoking Gun. The jockey is often crucial in this where horses can go a strong early pace. A well judged patient ride is often needed and the best jockeys are the ones you want to be delivering it. Eight of the last eleven winners have worn some kind of headgear, often a cause of improvement in horses at staying trips, whilst six of the last seven winners started at a single figure price. Whilst we can’t predict the starting price, it probably pays to look away from those horses that are a big price at the moment.

The most obvious starting point is Frontal Assault who is a best price 9/2. Thankfully we are already on at 10/1 having tipped him up a few weeks back before everyone else got stuck into him. With his experienced jockey likely to be taking 7lb off his back and just scrapes in the race off 145 then the signs are promising. Yet to win a chase from three starts but he is a grade 3 winning hurdler at 3m who hasn’t raced further than 2m 5 1/2f over the larger obstacles. Was an eyecatcher last time getting outpaced before staying on again, Elliott has been shrewd to hold him back for fear of him getting too high a mark for this race. My only concern is that he is a horse who is often ridden prominently which is not usually the place to be in these races. However, no reason to think it can’t be versatile and was held up on 2nd start when a staying on 4th. We have a good price though hard to say how much mileage is left at the best of 9/2.

I am also a fan of Fakir D’Alene for the same yard though as he still holds an entry in the Ultima which I suspect will be where he ends up. Was placed in a maiden hurdle over 3m though got off the mark at just over 2m 5f. Been kept to middle distances in five chase starts, winning twice including a handicap. Disappointed somewhat in a good handicap when last seen and was pulled from a possible outing only a few days ago due to a temperature which brings in the nagging doubts. Can see him improving for this trip but as a horse who does like to lead then it may be why they are favouring a tilt at the Ultima rather than this. The last from the yard on my shortlist is Grand Paradis. One of those horses that has been thereabouts this year, including when dead heating for second with Frontal Assault. Needless to say they are both off the same mark of 145 here. The question is whether he has the same amount of improvement expected at a longer trip as you see Frontal Assault having and I’m not sure you do. Was a grade 3 hurdle winner at 2m 5f on heavy so it is possible even if it is the furthest the horse has gone. He is now three times the price that Frontal Assault is yet on form, at admittedly a shorter trip, there is nothing between them.

Away from the Gordon Elliott yard and we have Champagne Platinum who has been pulled from the Cross Country but does have a Leinster National entry at the weekend. Clearly the switch from Henderson to Bolger suggests they have staying races in mind for this horse so the trip will be of no issue. Just found Death Duty too good last time over 3m 4f. His win over Ain’t That A Shame by a neck means there is very little between that pair either as they reoppose here off the same mark. As a guaranteed hold up horse then I like his chances but they would increase even more if he was to be ridden by Derek O’Connor, however, McManus also has shorter priced runners in School Boy Hours and Glenloe in the race with School Boy Hours probably the obvious one (Though the absence of 80 days is a concern from a trends point of view). There is no harm in backing the horse at 16/1 with Bet365, if he runs but doesn’t get a good jockey then can cash out for a similar amount I suspect. If he goes Leinster National we lose nothing and if O’Connor gets the ride we are laughing as it is going to take a good ride from a good jockey for him to win coming through the field. Ain’t That A Shame as mentioned has a good chance also. A winner of a maiden over hurdles at just shy of 3m, he improved for the step up to 3m having chased home Stattler followed by Galopin Des Champs on first two starts over fences. Close second to Champagne Platinum on first try at three miles was no disgrace when you consider the form of the De Bromhead yard at the time. This isn’t a race that De Bromhead targets (Unlike Elliott) so unsure who his options will be when it comes to jockey bookings. It could well be Barry O’Neill who rode the De Bromhead Plan of Attack in the race two years ago. In which case it would be a major help in the saddle.

It is hard to see where a serious challenge from the UK is going to come with many of those at the head of the betting from Ireland. Maybe the best could turn out to be Come On Teddy for Tom George. A decent hurdler who was third in the Pertemps last year having been held up and staying on. He got off the mark on chase debut in a novice handicap despite being 2lb out of the weights. Could never go the pace in the Dipper won by L’Homme Presse but then not many could that day before was upped to just shy of 3m, finishing runner up to the in-form Omar Moretti, who has won again since off a 3lb higher mark. Admittedly his jumping left a bit to be desired but handicapper has conveniently left him on the same mark of 137 giving him an 8lb pull for a 3 3/4 length defeat. A hold up horse who therefore should be very well suited to the way this race is run, he is one that will remain on my radar. However, like I have said, jockey bookings are important and as a British horse I doubt he will be the subject of a significant gamble on this race. I can see him being the type I back the night before with a couple of extra places at a good price, assuming I am happy with the jockey.

With us already having the favourite in the book at double the price he is now it makes sense to back a couple more while they are good prices. A few of these are sure to shorten once further jockey bookings are known. With my suspicion that Barry O’Neill will ride Ain’t That A Shame then he is one I am happy to take the remaining double figures about. I also want to get Champagne Platinum on side. There is the chance he could get Derek O’Connor in the saddle and he looks the ideal type for this race if it gets the green light to go for it instead of the Leinster National at the weekend.

1pt win – Ain’t That A Shame @ 9/1 Bet365 NRNB

0.75pt win – Champagne Platinum @ 16/1 Bet365 NRNB

County Handicap Hurdle

8/10 – Rated 134 – 146

22/23 – 8 or younger

17/19 – Novice or 2nd season hurdler

26/27 – Previous handicap experience

30/34 – Raced at least 3 times this season

8/10 – Not run in last 33 days

5/6 – Ex-Flat horse

Typical of the handicap hurdles at Cheltenham, it is so hard to break down a race by trends to a manageable level. Therefore have had to take a few liberties with what I use, however, the last couple of years have seen these trends broken pretty significantly. Belfast Banter (Who we tipped at 40/1 last year the night before) was rated just 129 and had run only 19 days previously, whilst the year before was Saint Roi, who was making his handicap debut after just two starts for Willie Mullins. Mullins does have a habit of breaking trends and he does have several promising, unexposed novices for the race who have yet to run in handicaps, like Saint Roi… This may not be a race that will stand up for the trends and so I won’t get too carried away by it.

Ironically, applying all of the above leaves me just one horse! The trend of Ex-Flat horses knocked out all barring one from the shortlist I had left. Once again, the exception was last years winner Belfast Banter. Interestingly, it is a horse I like and one I had my eye on in big handicaps. The horse in question is Tritonic for Alan King who could be having a great Festival. Was a 99 rated flat horse at best, with his best performance coming 2nd in a 1m 3f listed race at Hamilton. Plenty of promise as a 4yo hurdler, finishing 5th in the Triumph last year. Creditable 5th in the Greatwood this year, a race that has worked out so well and been mentioned several times already. Followed up with an impressive win in the Betfair Exchange Trophy at Ascot, cruising on the bridle in a strong race before quickening when asked to win by just under 3 lengths. The second hasn’t run yet but the third followed up with a good 3rd again off 1lb higher whilst the fourth, Metier won last time out. Was turned out quickly in the Christmas Hurdle when only 4th of 5 but to me he had no chance. I think he is best with a short break and better ground! I am prepared to excuse the Betfair Hurdle run as well as he was ridden a lot more prominently than he usually is and to the detriment to the horse as I Like To Move It who finished 2nd was the only horse to race prominently who finished in the first 8 home. The early pace was therefore strong and I wonder if he was a bit keen running after 48 days off the track. His wins, including flat runs, have come with gaps of 34, 28, 106, 35 & 24. The 106 was his hurdles debut when he outclassed the opposition. The soft ground would of been against him that day also as his record on soft or worse is 524184 so I think class got him through that race. He comes here with one of the highest adjusted RPRs likely in the race from that Ascot victory and plenty of course experience. The reason flat horses do so well in this race is because they have the flat speed to get into position and finish well with their being just one hurdle in the straight. He has the turn of foot needed to win this so if ridden more patiently I think he has a good chance.

The question at the moment is do I want to back it now? 16s pretty much across the board, there will be a lot more horses with far more flashier profiles that will be backed for this race. I don’t see Tritonic being one of them and would be amazed if the 16/1 isn’t available the night before with 7 or even 8 places available somewhere. I am happy to wait on the horse before backing it. He would seem to be ground dependent somewhat as well so if rain was to come then it would hit his chances.

I will go slightly against the grain though and back a horse who isn’t a perfect fit for the trends but has shown enough that I want to back it as I feel his price will shorten in the coming days when the market is finalised a bit more. That horse has already been mentioned in I Like To Move It for Nigel Twiston-Davies. As I highlighted earlier, his performance in the Betfair hurdle was exceptional for a horse having raced up with the pace for so long and to only go down a short head. He was a little keen early but could well improve for more cover and I don’t think he has to race so prominently. It is possible having his first run for 57 days saw him a bit fresh. Most of those to make a challenge raced much wider through the race rather than I Like To Move It who was on the rail for most. Twice a course winner, including beating Tritonic early in the season admittedly in a race run more to suit it. He did go for the Champion Bumper last year where he finished a creditable 9th of 14 without ever getting into it. If he can be ridden a little more patiently here then he looks to be a well handicapped horse with bags of potential as a novice still. Has big field handicap experience, if that run hasn’t taken too much out of him then he has a strong chance.

0.75pt win – I Like To Move It @ 12/1 NRNB Coral and Ladbrokes

Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle

9/10 – Rated 138 or higher

11/13 – 8 or less hurdle starts

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger

9/11 – First three finish last time out

10/11 – Last run within 52 days

12/13 – Won a hurdle of at least 11 runners

11/13 – Has run in a graded race

Interestingly, this brings me down to five runners, however three I don’t expect to run here. Burning Victory and Queens Brook who appear once again like they did in the Coral Cup will probably go for the Mares Hurdle, whilst Minella Crooner will likely take his place in the Albert Bartlett. Therefore will take a look at the two that remain.

Beauport – Another Twiston-Davies horse, he could have a very good final day in the handicaps! This horse was double entered in the Coral Cup but has been pulled so if going to Cheltenham then this is the race. An impressive winner of a grade 3 novice handicap last year coming from last to first to see the race out very well up the Sandown hill on soft/heavy ground. The race did favour those ridden patiently but he still pulled nicely clear having travelled well. Just found an in-form and well handicapped rival too good on first start this year. The winner had already won a month before and went on to win again off a 5lb higher mark, now rated 15lb higher than when beating Beauport. Possible Beauport hit the front too soon having travelled so well again. Next up was second to Dashel Drasher who was able to race off a handicap mark 10lb lower than his chase. Just went down by 1/2 to another well handicapped runner. Finally, Beauport was 2nd again on last run, upped to just shy of three miles, beat by well regarded Green Book. Up to a mark of 142 sees it now 11lb higher without winning with his latest 6lb rise looking harsh considering was beat, though pair was just under 8 lengths clear of the third. A real hold up horse who stays further is your perfect style of horse for the race and I expect him to be ridden by Jordan Nailor who is the horses regular jockey and has ridden 66 winners under rules in the last 5 years so has bags of experience. The only question is whether the horse is handicapped well enough to win and beat all these plotted up rivals, Irish and Langer Dan! He isn’t one that is likely to shorten much in the betting and would be nice to get with a couple more places.

The Goffer – A bit of an ‘under the radar’ Elliott horse for the race. Winner of a 2m 4f maiden when the favourite fell, before only 4th in a conditions race won by Daly Tiger. Upped in trip to 2m 7f when 4th again to well regarded Gerri Colombe. Travelled quite well that day but was easily left behind, plodding on steadily. General suggestion would be that he just didn’t get home. That seemed to be the same idea for connections as he dropped back to 2 1/2m at Thurles in the Michael Purcell grade 3 novice where he raced more prominently and won by a length and a quarter. Seems to be improving with every run and has gained a bit of experience now with five starts. A strongly run race at this trip looks ideal and interesting that it was considered good enough to get a mention in the Elliott stable tours, even stating that he was a Martin Pipe type. Got to be a good sign though could easily get forgotten now it seems Hollow Games could come for this race also.

Like I said, Beauport can wait for a bet as I want more places and I don’t see it shortening much between now and then. The Goffer is slightly tricky. As an Elliott horse in the Martin Pipe then got to consider the money could come for him. But, likewise, there are several other Irish horses in the race which could get backed. Horses with a higher profile than this one. If he was around 10/1 – 12/1 best price I would probably of left it but with Bet365 going 16/1 then I have to take it.

0.75pt win – The Goffer @ 16/1 Bet365 NRNB